Month: August 2023

Why are rents so high?

by John Rice

It’s because all Landlords are greedy SOB’s, right?

Hahahaha. Well, some might be but that is NOT the real reason rents are so high.

Reason #1:

Inflation. I know you know that word. For some reason, with the price of everything having gone up since COVID, people tend to be shocked that rents have gone up too. Inflation affected everything, including rent values.

Reason #2:

We have been in a housing shortage since the Great Recession ended. That means we don’t have enough housing for everybody, regardless of whether you are renting or buying. More demand than supply means scarcity. Scarcity means higher prices. If there are 99 people looking for a place to live and 100 properties available, prices will go down. If there are 99 properties for rent and 100 people looking, prices will go up.

Reason #3:

Interest rates/Property Taxes/Homeowner’s Insurance. Put yourself in the shoes of a landlord. Why do you think they put up with middle of the night calls about stopped up toilets? It is because they want to make money from letting you move in their property worth hundreds of thousands of dollars for merely the deposit of a single month’s rent and the hope you will pay next month’s rent. If they cannot make money, they won’t do it. Would you go to your job if you didn’t make any money? Rates are higher. Property values have gone up, forcing property taxes to go up. Homeowner’s insurance has gone up as well. They have to pass these expenses onto tenants just as any business has to do.

Reason #4:

The high cost of buying a house. Rent prices are somewhat indexed with real estate prices. Let’s say you live in a house worth $200,000 that you rent for $1500 a month. If you were to put down 3% and buy that house yourself, it would cost you over $1600 a month for a mortgage. (That is principal, interest, taxes, insurance.) Plus you would have to pay out of your own pocket to maintain the house. When you put it in that perspective, renting sounds like a bargain.

The wrong way to make housing more affordable

by John Rice

I keep seeing a bit of enthusiasm in the media regarding the market softening to the point that real estate prices will drop.

With the logic of a 5 year old, sure, it makes sense that lower prices make things more affordable. There are however more variables that go into a mortgage payment. There is the price you pay, your interest rate and the length of your loan. There is another variable independent of real estate and that is wages. I read this morning that wages are going up as workers are demanding more income to combat inflation. I predicted this. Inflation came first and hurt all of us. I knew that in time, wages would have to go up as well. I used to have a lawn care business when I was younger. I remember a customer who built their house brand new in the 1960s. They told me their payment was something like $160 a month and some months it was hard to make ends meet. We laugh at that payment today, but keep in mind that it was probably still about 30% or more of their income.

Let’s say that we all wake up tomorrow and real estate prices have dropped 20%. Yay affordability!! It won’t make a bit of difference. Why? Having lived through the Great Recession, I can tell you that Buyers will not view this as an opportunity. They will be afraid to buy. The self claimed shrewd Buyers will try to time the market and wait for prices to go down more. Those Buyers usually end up waiting so long that prices have started to rebound before they feel comfortable to pull the trigger.

Let’s also take into consideration what softening real estate prices will do to those who already own a home, which ultimately affects everybody. For most middle class folk, their home is their greatest asset. If they feel good about the value of their home and their job security, they will go out and spend their money. They take vacations. They go to Lowe’s and Home Depot. They buy furniture. They spend on landscaping. It’s good for the whole economy. They stop all that when the value of their home goes down. How do I know? I saw it from 2007-2011.

What is the solution? Build more houses. We have been in a housing shortage since the Great Recession ended. Yes, people right now are not moving since they got super low rates that don’t exist anymore. That is keeping prices high in these times of higher rates. But think back. When rates were super low and everybody was eager to buy houses, we still didn’t have enough houses available.

And if you think affordability and low inventory are bad now, just wait until rates drop down to around 6% or hopefully less. That will create a bit of a frenzy. There will be even more bidding wars and prices will continue to go up, making housing less affordable.

Should you buy that updated house?

by John Rice

It is soooo easy right now to sell a pretty house. Always has been but when there is so little for sale, it is especially easy.

You know the formula: White shaker cabinets, quartz tops, lots of trim, paint as much black as you can, etc.

I get it. Those houses are so pretty. The problem is that a house that’s only attraction is its pretty new finishes might not be a good enough reason to buy it.

I blogged a few weeks ago about a former Airbnb house I showed that sold for way over list price and got a crazy amount of offers. I pointed out to my buyer several things showing it wasn’t all that great of a house. The driveway was sort of steep and in bad shape. The old wood windows needed reglazed. It wasn’t really that great of a house, it was just pretty and most of what made it attractive was the furniture that didn’t stay with the house.

It is great if you get a pretty house but that isn’t enough of a reason to buy it.

At its core, whatever house you buy needs to have more than trendy finishes going for it. Why? Because one day those fancy finishes will either be out of style or worn out and you’ll be left with a house that doesn’t even have one great feature anymore.

Here is how to pick a house:

  1. Most important thing is a good location. I know that phrase that is thrown around a lot, but a good location can mean any reason that spot is desirable. It can be because it is close to something, far away from something, be in a desirable school district, be close to highway access, or just anything that makes it more desirable than somewhere else.
  2. If a house passes that test, then examine the lot. You want the lot to be equal to the others in the neighborhood or be better. Flatter is usually more desirable. Less slope on the driveway is usually better.
  3. Then think about the floor plan. It needs to be functional and fit in with the neighborhood. If you have a closed off floor plan in a neighborhood where most are open concept, then it might be harder to sell in a softer market. If something is odd about the floor plan to you, it will be odd to future buyers as well.

Where do those fancy finishes come into consideration? At the very end. It is always easier to put fancy finishes in any house than it is to change the location, lot or floor plan. If you have an outdated house in a good location with a good lot and a good floor plan, you still have a house that will always be desirable.