The first house you buy is the most important one ever

First time buyers.  I’ve been working with a few of them lately.

Most first time buyers are thinking about finding a place they like.

I like to show them that their first house is so much more than that.

Every house you are ever going to own is impacted by that first one.

It is really the most important house you are ever going to purchase.

Why?

Because eventually you will sell that first house.  How well of an investment it turned out to be will impact how much money you have to put down on your next house.  It just keeps going until you are middle aged and in your forever home.  You know, the one you sell to help fund your retirement when you downsize to a cheaper home.

My dad called this compounding.  He was mainly referring to interest when he was teaching me this stuff in middle school, but it applies to real estate too.

It really reminds me more of bowling though.  To get a strike, you don’t knock down every pin with the ball.  You just hit one of them right and the pins begin to knock down the remaining pins.

What I want in 2018

I am about 8 weeks away from celebrating my 13th year in real estate.

When I got into this, a lot of agents thought I was crazy and that I would never make it in this industry.  Why?  I didn’t want to do all the tasks that we were told we had to do to attract business.  I didn’t want to mail out basketball schedules, calendars, packets of seed with a card that said “Help me grow my business.”  I wanted to be out and about doing things that kept me on top of the market.  Things that would benefit my clients.  I got into real estate because I love the market and houses, not because I loved mailing people stuff.

Other agents also thought I was crazy because I wore shorts and sandals all the time.  Ok, they may have been right about that one.

I was told that if I didn’t do all those things, people wouldn’t remember me.  I said that if somebody used me as their agent and forgot about me, I didn’t deserve to be remembered.

I was excited to view every house I could because the more houses I was in, the better I knew the market and neighborhoods.

As the market went sour, I gained momentum.  The agents who use to laugh at me began asking me what I was doing to get so much work.

It grew and grew until it peaked in 2014.  I was in the top 1.5% of all the agents in my area.  2015, 2016 and 2017 were all good years.  I did less work, but I enjoyed it much more and  had more time to focus on each client.

I’ve pretty much achieved all the goals I made 13 years ago.  It’s been a wild and fun ride.  Sort of like surfing and riding a bucking bronco at the same time.  What a rush.

So what do I want out of 2018?  I mean me personally…..sure my goal has always been to be the best realtor I can for my clients and always will be.  The fact that almost all my work is repeat clients and referrals from past clients shows that is happening.  But what do I want to say to myself on January 1st in 2019?

I want to look back and say “Man, that was fun.”

That is it.  No setting goals for how many houses I want to sell.  No setting goals for how much money I want to make.  No comparing myself to other agents.  I’m past all that.  I just want to be the best version of me I can so I can be the best realtor I can be…..and I want to enjoy every single day.

 

Reading the real estate market in real time

One day this summer, I looked out across my backyard.  I do that every day.  All the time.  I love my backyard.

This time I noticed one of the pine trees in the corner had a bunch of brown needles on it.

I immediately reached out to my buddy Phil who knows just about everything there is to know about every plant there is.

He told me that usually once you see the needles turn brown, the tree is already dead.

I knew he knew what he was talking about, but just to be sure, I waited to cut it down until every needle had turned brown, fallen to the ground, and the branches snapped as crisply as the first Saltine cracker in the box.

That experience reminds me of the real estate market.  You never know exactly where the market is at the moment.  You just see the signs after the change occurred.

I got into real estate during the spring of 2005.  My first listing was in May.  I was so excited.  Houses had been selling for top dollar immediately.  I wanted to be a part of that.  The house took several months to sell.  I remember thinking, even as a newbie, that the house was priced right, had a good location, and statistically should have sold already.

Nobody knew it at that time, but the market was slowing down and was about to become the worst market in recent history.

After weathering that storm, I got to witness another change.  Early in 2013.  It felt like that first decent day in spring.  The one where you notice the sun stays up a little longer, you didn’t feel as cold as the day before.  Like that scene in Bambie where all the animals come out for the first time.

I was working with a really cool buyer named John.  He traded cars as often as I do.  He wanted the south end of town in an affordable price range.  We made a few offers on houses and lost them.  The offers we made were spot on within the recent comparable sales.  After the 3rd time, I told him that I felt like the market was improving, so all the sale prices for the recent comparable sales were going to be lower than what the value would be now.  We would have to made an adjustment.  Sure enough, as the ones we had made offers on closed, the prices were about 2% higher than the comps I had been using.  Meanwhile,  we had a backup offer on a foreclosure that he ended up getting.  He put very little money in that house and less than 6 months later we sold it for $41k more than he had paid for it.  By the time he sold it, everybody knew the market had changed.  The market had changed so much that even after the house sold, people were walking up and looking in the windows while he was home.  I told him to pull my for sale sign out of the yard and keep it in the garage until we closed.

So, where are we right now?  After such a hot hot hot market earlier this year, the market is really slow.  I don’t think it is in trouble or anything.  I just suspect that everybody who was going to buy this year did so in the first 10 months.  It has been a frustrating year for buyers.  I think a lot of them have given up on buying this year and are waiting until spring.  Sellers aren’t too happy right now either.  They have watched all their neighbors get multiple offers the first day on the market, but now they aren’t seeing the same thing happen with their house.

So, right now is a great time to get out and buy a house if you can find one you like.  We still don’t have a lot of choices, but you’re going to have more of a chance to negotiate and probably be the only offer the seller has on the table.  Historically, buyers come out of hibernation late spring and sellers start putting their houses on the market about a month later.  So you’ve only got about 8 weeks to enjoy this slow period.

The more of these changes I live through, the easier it becomes to notice them more quickly.

And now the same holds true for the trees in my backyard.

 

Selling “By Owner”

It’s a hot market.  Many people want to go the For Sale by Owner route.  I have no hard feelings towards them.  It is their house after all!  They can do with it whatever they want.  My only real problem with this whole For Sale By Owner process is that the buyers who look at these properties and the sellers BOTH want to save the commission that would be paid to a Realtor.

Okay, the seller is thinking, hey, I can save as much as 6% if I do this myself  The buyer is thinking, hey, I can make a low offer on this FSBO house since they don’t have to pay a Realtor!  That is where the fun begins.  Both parties are viewing the savings as THEIRS!!!!!!!

And let me stick this little bit of trivia in now.  Usually the seller thinks their house is worth more than it is.  Often, they interview several agents who all tell them their house is worth about the same amount.  The seller of course disagrees and puts their house on the market for way more money because you know, they think their house has some magical aura that adds value.  I often call FSBO sellers for my buyers.  Their interest usually ends the moment I tell them the seller’s list price.

Usually the buyer writes an offer than insults the seller.  The seller then says something like, “But I need to get this much out of my house so I can buy my next house on the terms that I want!”  The Buyer then tries to justify their offer by saying something like, “Well, we just can’t pay any more for your house since we are going to have to repaint your baby’s room and replace that ugly carpet in your family room.”  By this time both parties have gotten away from the fact that the goal is to change who owns the house, not to win a battle.  While I did exaggerate things a bit, this type of thing is what keeps agents in the business.  I think this is more the norm than a pleasant FSBO experience.

I have always said that the day people can negotiate without taking things personally, when they can see how the other party thinks, when sellers realize that their house may not be the best one in town, and when buyers realize they don’t have to put the seller in a chokehold, that it will be the end of the road for realtors.   I use to worry about this, but now I know that day will never come.

How I beat Bitcoin

Bitcoin would have been nice to have bought earlier this year.  But wouldn’t any stock be nice to buy that you knew was going to appreciate?  Wouldn’t it be nice to not worry about it all crashing tomorrow?

Imagine an investment that has consistently beat inflation for hundreds of years.  An investment that has only taken two major hits in the past 89 years?

It is called real estate.

I’ve often wondered why so many people are skiddish about investing in real estate.  Sure, it takes a little more time than buying/selling stocks.  And it isn’t as liquid either, but part of what makes stocks so volatile IS how easy they are to buy and sell.

And then there is my favorite part of real estate investing:  OPM (Other people’s money.)

When you buy a stock, you use 100% of your money.  When you invest in real estate, you can end up with 0-20% of your own money in the deal and let tenants pay the rest for you.  You end up owning 100% of the asset without paying anywhere near that much to acquire it.  Anything you make in rent that is above paying your mortgage and maintenance costs is like a dividend.

Here is one of my examples of how to do it:

I bought a house for $100k.  I spent $45k fixing it up.  Now I have a house with new roof, windows, furnace, air conditioner, water heater, hardwood floors, etc.  All brand new.  It appraisers for $180k.  I get a loan for 80% of that, which is $144k.  So, I now have spent some time and effectively $1000 of my own money.  I have a house that is practically new AND $36k in equity as soon as I am done.  The rent covers the mortgage and maintenance.  Life is good.  That is a 3600% return on the investment in about 6 months.

Fast forward a few years and the house is now worth about $210k.  It is on it’s second tenant, so the rent is higher.  More equity too through appreciation and through the tenant paying down the principle.

Rinse.  Wash.  Repeat.  I’ve done it several times.  You can too.

Better than Bitcoin.