Buying Advice

Why say NO to a perfect house?

by John Rice

I showed a house to a family yesterday. It was a perfect house. It was in move in ready condition. Had character. Even a salt water pool. It was on 5 glorious acres in a great location in Woodford County. It was even priced really good.

The buyer didn’t like it.

And that was okay. It wasn’t as good of a fit for he and his family as he had hoped.

He realized that having a primary bedroom on the main level was very important to him. He also realized he didn’t want to maintain that many acres.

It was a good day because we learned something. We narrowed down what he wants in a house. The simple fact is that the more houses you see, the more you learn about what you want/don’t want in your next house.

Often Buyers will apologize to me for wasting my time to show them a house they aren’t interested in buying. I always tell them that finding the right one is a process. It’s really not even about the houses. It’s about self discovery…..learning what’s most important. This Buyer now wants a big yard, but not acreage and a house with a primary bedroom on the main level. Had we not see this fabulous house yesterday, neither of us would have known this.

We are one step closer to finding HIS perfect home.

Want the lowest price you’ll see in 2023?

by John Rice

I have always said that late winter and early spring are the best times to buy a house if you’re worried about prices.

Why? Very simple.

Regardless of the temperature of the market, you are still buying at last years prices. We never know what the market will be like until the Spring buying season begins. Once the market pops for the year, prices begin to go up. The past few years they really went up.

While I don’t see this year having the same crazy appreciation, there are enough signs that prices WILL go up:

  1. There will be fewer houses for sale since most people bought or refinanced when rates were very low. We are back to people moving because they need to instread of just wanting an upgrade.
  2. Rates are stabilizing and projected to go down a little more. Every time recently that rates have gotten to about 6%, buyer activity really picks up.
  3. Aaaaaaaaand the obvious is inflation is causing the prices of everything to go up!

By the time all the leaves are on the trees, anybody who plans on buying a house will be out there submitting their highest and best offer. Your best chance to get the lowest price for the year is to get out there now. The house you can buy today WILL be worth more by the end of 2023.

How old neighborhoods become desirable

by John Rice

There are really two types of old neighborhoods. The kind that always were desirable. Think Chevy Chase Then there are those that became desirable. Think, in varying degrees, Kenwick, The Meadows, Meadowthorpe and Southland.

Chevy Chase is rare. It has never ever gone though any type of normal cycle where there is a decline in desirability. It has the perfect combination of location and character.

What is most common for older neighborhoods is to have gone through one or more cycles of decline. Most were solid middle class neighborhoods when new. Sometimes worse neighborhoods surrounded them and brought them down. Often the owners moved away to newer, more modern suburban neighborhoods in the 1950s through the 1970s. These types of neighborhoods became more and more affordable to subsequent buyers since their spot on the preferred neighborhood hierarchy dropped. Some eventually stabilized. Some keep sliding all the way to the very bottom…..like it if were a Totem Pole, they would be the part that is in the ground.

Kenwick is the perfect example of one that declined to became a stable “C Grade” neighborhood. It worked its way up to “B Grade”, then “A Grade” and is now a legit “A+ Grade” neighborhood. My family moved to Kenwick in the mid 1980s. It was just a blue collar, working class neighborhood. My parents picked it because they loved Chevy Chase but couldn’t afford it at the time. It offered 80% of the location and style for 30% of the price. Over the years I have watched Kenwick go from being the affordable second choice to standing proudly on it’s own two feet. People today pick Kenwick because they love Kenwick, not because it is all they can afford.

The modern equivalent of Kenwick is The Meadows. The Meadows saw a pretty rapid decline in the 70s as most of the new schools, shopping and dining moved towards the south end of town .What was once a solid neighborhood built in the 1950s for returning vets and first time buyers saw a lot of neglect. Many houses became cheap rentals. The foreclosure crisis hit it hard about 15 years ago. With very few affordable older neighborhoods left, it has become a good way to get into an older house and get the old neighborhood vibe for cheap. I don’t really know where future generations will go to fulfill their desire for an older house in an older neighborhood. There aren’t many left. With all the tiny 1000 square foot generic spec homes of the 60s and 70s aging, maybe we will see neighborhoods such as Woodhill, Rookwood, Cardinal Valley and Idle Hour become the trendy spot for affordable older homes. It’s the same formula after all.

Sometimes new development around an older neighborhood helps it become more desirable. Meadowthorpe is prime example of this. When new, it was on the very edge of town. It was probably originally viewed like Masterson Station was in the early days. I remember when Masterson Station was new, people we like “Nice, but why is it all the way out there in the middle of nowhere?” I think few people were even aware of Meadowthorpe when I moved here in the 1980s. It was just some random, cool, neighborhood on a forgotten end of town. Back then, being close to downtown wasn’t as cool as it is now. There was no Distillery District. There wasn’t even that shopping center with Kroger. I think what really helped Meadowthorpe was Masterson Station. Sure, the Distillery District and it’s proximity to downtown contributed, but the continuing development of Master Station solidified the west end of town being part of Lexington instead of feeling like you’re midway to Midway.

Southland is a good example of how a nice, middle of the road neighborhood becomes trendy. It already had a good location on the south end of town between everything out Nicholasville Road and UK. It has always had a good school district. It has always been a nice choice for affordable homes. It seemed like a logical place for people to live and fix up their houses. More and more people starting buying and renovating their houses just as many of the long time owners were leaving. This made prices really shoot up quite a bit in recent years. Today it is common to see extremely nice renovated homes selling for over $500k.

So, if you’ve made it this far, you can see that most old neighborhoods typically become more desirable in these ways:

  1. They already were really desirable-Chevy Chase.
  2. They declined enough to become super affordable and were rejuvenated-Kenwick and The Meadows.
  3. New development and/or changes in the areas-Meadowthorpe.
  4. They were always nice, but became even nicer and more desirable for a variety of reasons-Southland.

My advice to First Time Buyers

by John Rice

I was you once. I had no idea how any of this works. All I knew was that I was ready to buy a house and I had to borrow money to do it.

I had been saving a little. I was self employed running my lawn care business. I had a busy spring and had fallen behind on billing. I totaled up the invoices I had just sent out and to my surprise, I had suddenly had a 5% down payment for a very modest home.

I started working with the only realtor I knew at that time. I got preapproved with the bank that I had my checking account with. After seeing a lot of houses, we decided on one and bought it. There is of course more to that story, but this is really about what I learned as a first time buyer and now many years later a realtor that might help you.

I always think the first step is to find a realtor. A realtor can explain the whole process and prevent a lot of mistakes. When picking a realtor, you want somebody that sells enough houses in your price range to be able to tell you if a certain house is a good one to buy or not. Keep in mind that while it is great to love the house you buy, odds are you won’t be there forever. It is the first step on a path to getting in the house you ultimately want, can’t afford now and that you will be in long term. You want a house that will be easy to sell in any market. Always keep in mind that one day you will sell it because your needs have changed. You will love the next house that suits your needs better and this one can help you get it or ruin your chances. This means don’t use your neighbor’s babysitter who just quit her job at Subway and got her license. Don’t use your best friend who just got their license. Having some experience will benefit you more than you will ever understand. A lot of first time buyers assume they have to pay for their realtor and will try to go at it alone. The commission your realtor gets is offered from the Listing Realtor. The Listing Realtor has an agreement for the Seller to pay them a commission to sell their house. That Listing Agent has offered to split it with your realtor. That means having your own realtor is totally free to you. (Caveat-some realtors do charge what is called an ABC fee of $175-250. I do not do that since I think it is stupid and just a way of getting a little more money.)

The next step I would take if I were you is to find a good lender. A good lender is not necessarily the one with the rock bottom interest rate and closing cost. The best lender is one with a competitive rate that can smoothly and efficiently get you to the closing table with the least drama or delay. Pro Tip here…….this lender is typically NOT the bank with your car loan or your checking account. Your realtor probably knows a couple of good lenders.

Then I would start looking at houses. I’d look at a bunch of stuff in your price range all over town. This is a process. I can tell you that few buyers I have worked with ended up with exactly what they told me they wanted. I’ll have people say they want a specific neighborhood and fall in love with a house outside that neighborhood. I’ve had people tell me they wanted an old house end up buying a much newer one. They often apologize to me for the change of plans. I always tell them it is a process to get the right house. Changing plans just means you are more clearly discovering what you really want. The more houses you see, the more you know what you want. The worst thing about the crazy hot market of the last few years is that no buyer in any price range has had a chance to look at more than a handful of houses.

How do you know when you’ve found the right one? Most people leave a house they don’t like pretty fast…..NEXT! People that like a house stay at the house for a long time and keep walking around. Sometimes buyers stay for a while because they love certain features and not others. If you find yourself saying “If only this were different, it would be perfect,” then it probably isn’t the one. If you begin arranging your furniture in the house and are worried about losing the house as you leave it, then it is probably the one. When I say worry about losing it, I mean losing the house. The past few years the market has moved so fast that people have started worrying about losing the opportunity to make an offer. That is a fear of missing out. That has nothing to do with the house. That just means you like it enough to be anxious about losing it while you decide if you want it. If you are worried about losing the house and not just the opportunity, then you know. Also, you’ve been so focused on finding the right place that odds are you are sort of caught off guard when you do find the house. Don’t worry about that. It is common. Often a first time buyer needs to wrap their head around the fact that they are about to take the giant step they have been working towards. I try to give my first time buyers a little space. You need to get past the shock and be ready to sign the offer.

When you are ready to make an offer, please rely on your realtor for advice. I have seen so many buyers just tell their realtor what to put in the terms of the offer and then not get the house should there be multiple offers. In multiple offers, you really only get one change to win the house. Ask your realtor what they think you should do. If you can handle their advice, just do it. Your realtor has done this multiple times in the past month and this is your first time. It is their time to take care of you.

You’re feeling all good now. You’ve found the house. A contract has been signed. Your lender is asking you for a lot of documents. The next step is the home inspection. Not having been though a home inspection, you assume since the house looks good that it is good. As the home inspector you chose starts going over the inspection report, you begin to wonder if you have made the wrong choice. Most home inspection reports I have seen have 20-50 items that the inspector found. Most of these items will be things that are deferred maintenance or things that were not done in the textbook perfect way. This is where a realtor you trust can help you sort through what items are most likely going to be on any home inspection report and which items are specific to this house. I try to break down the items that are most immediate and those that will be the most expensive. Sometimes the house has one or more major items that are deal breakers. Sometimes the sum of all the immediate needs is too much. Most of the time though, 80% of whatever your inspector found at your house will be on the next home inspection report should you walk away from this house and buy another. Why? Because there is no perfect house.

Now we are getting close to the closing. Your realtor tells you that you have to do a “Final Walk Through” of the house right before the closing. All this means is you need to see the house prior to you owning it to make sure any home inspection repairs were done and that the house is in equal or better condition than it was the day you bought it. It can be a fun time too just to get inside the house.

The final step is the closing. Sometimes buyers get anxious about this. They just don’t know what to expect. A closing in my state usually takes about 30-45 minutes. Everybody sits at a table and signs a bunch of documents. You’ll have the most to sign since you’re getting a mortgage. It’s a fairly casual deal. Dress however you want since all anybody cares about is that you brought your Driver’s License and are able to sign your name. You are the star that day. Everybody at the table is there because YOU decided to buy a house.

Now the place is yours. Move in and enjoy building equity!

Waiting for a good deal on a home?

by John Rice

Have you been waiting for the market to crash before you pull the trigger on your new home? If so, I’ve got great news for you. Now is your time to buy.

What? I know what you are thinking…..”John, you are crazy, these prices haven’t changed much at all!?!?”

Well dude, it’s time to stop thinking about prices and to start thinking about value.

The price of something is the number of dollar bills you must pay.

The value has to do with what those dollar bills are worth adjusted to inflation.

Inflation is a dirty word we are reading a lot about and is making us spend more of our dollars because it takes more to buy the same things it did a couple of years ago. If you think of inflation as prices on stuff going up, you’re sort looking at it wrong. That is a consequence of inflation. Inflation is really the devaluation of a dollar, which is why it takes more dollars to buy the same stuff. If we have 7% inflation this year, what that really means is the value of today’s dollar is 93 cents compared to last year so the price of everything will go up accordingly.

Now let’s apply this to houses.

Prices in the bluegrass area are about flat for this year….meaning they haven’t really gone up. Meanwhile inflation has made last year’s dollar worth about 93 cents. So inflation has devalued the dollar causing everything you buy to cost more dollars EXCEPT for real estate. If the price of something didn’t go up during an inflationary time, that really means that adjusted to inflation, the value dropped. So you don’t have to go back and read that again, I’m saying even though the price of a house is about the same as last year, it is really worth less today adjusted to inflation.

So, go out and buy today. Everything is effectively 7% cheaper than it was last year.