how to pick a realtor

How I learned a great real estate lesson from a video game

by John Rice

Ever play Sim City? I must admit, I haven’t done it in like 30 years, but I always loved to watch what happened when you built a neighborhood beside an industrial zone, or watch a neighborhood grow when you added a commercial district beside it.

Sim City is a lot like real life in the way something outside a neighborhood can have an impact on what happens within a neighborhood. 

One day many many years ago, I was talking to a neighbor who bought her house brand new back in the early 70’s. We were talking about all the traffic on Pimlico Parkway. She told me that before they opened Man-O War, the only traffic on Pimlico Parkway was just people from the neighborhood. It was just the main drag through the neighborhood, like any other entrance and exit  in your neighborhood…..until something changed.

And I guess that is what is on my mind. How things are always the same, until something changes.

Another example of a road like this is Autumn Ridge Blvd. I remember when it was a new neighborhood. You took Autumn Ridge all the way back, turned on Pleasant Ridge just like you do today, only back then it ended before you got to Andover Forest…..and oh, there was also no Hamburg back then either.

Next thing you know, Hamburg is built and you can get to it straight through Autumn Ridge. It really worked out great for everybody….except those folks that lived on the cut through streets.  They saw a lot of traffic and watched as their houses became less desirable than the same house on a different street in the neighborhood.

So, here is my advice: Don’t buy a house on a road that ends at an undeveloped area.  SOMETHING will eventually be there….just like on Sim City, and odds are it will change the vibe of your neighborhood. Sometimes it changes it in a good way, but most of the time it means increased traffic, which usually means increased crime…..just like Sim City.

Here is some more advice: When you are considering a neighborhood that has roads like that, take a look at a satellite view of the neighborhood. You want to see what is on the other side of the vacant land to see what may eventually be connected to your neighborhood. Also, don’t rely on zoning. I hear people say things like, “Oh, that is zoned for single family, so we’ll be okay.”  Well, lets say that it stays zoned as such. That doesn’t mean that it will be a single family neighborhood similar to your neighborhood? But even more of a big deal is that there are zoning changes all the time.

And you know what usually happens when there is a big change in the neighborhood don’t you?  All your neighbors decide to move at the same time.  Never a good thing for resale value……and Game Over for you!

August 17th the Y2K for Real Estate?

by John Rice

Here we are just a few days from the date that the media thinks is going to change the entire real estate market.

Leading up to this reminds me of most of the year 1999. Back then, the media took the opportunity to let us know that most computers were never prepared for the year 2000. Doomsday was scheduled to begin January 1st 2000 since the computers would think the year was 1900 instead of 2000. This was called Y2K. People stocked up on cash, water and food in case the world froze up.

Of course, what happened on 1/1/2000 was that everybody woke up to find nothing had changed. Whenever I see a pantry stuffed full of a lifetime supply of canned goods, I wonder if that is somebody’s leftover Y2K stash.

All of us will wake up on 8/17/2024 and find that the real estate market kept going, just as it always has since the first person hired somebody to be their real estate agent whenever that was.

There are a few changes, and they are not at all like the so called journalists predict. Housing prices will not go down. No real money will be saved by anybody. Commissions in my area have dropped a little. I used to see mostly 3% offered to Buyer’s Realtors with an occasional 2.5%. I am now seeing a lot of 2.5% commissions. The change is really more of a technical inconvenience than anything mind blowing.

What will change is basically the equation to get to the same solution that has always existed.

In the “Old days” of right now, the Seller’s Realtor had a certain commission they wanted to make for selling the house. They would add an amount to that for the Buyer’s Realtor. The sum of those two numbers were what the total commission was going to be. By the way, commissions have always been negotiable.

The new model pretty much does the same thing…..at least in my market. A seller will have 3 options when signing a listing agreement with their Realtor: 1) The Seller’s Realtor is paid a larger commission and will offer to give part of it to the Buyer’s Realtor. This is the old fashion way. YES, it still will exist! 2) The Seller’s Realtor will charge their own commission PLUS the Seller will offer an amount to the Buyer’s Realtor to be paid directly by the Seller. 3) The Seller may choose at that time to not offer any commission to the Buyer’s Agent. Option 3 is the one everybody is assuming will change the industry. Well, time will tell if I am wrong, but I don’t really see Option 3 being viable in anything less than the absolute hottest real estate market ever. Why? Because history has proven that Buyer’s want their own Realtor involved. That is why most For sale By Owner listings fail to sell. Almost all Buyers prefer to have their own Realtor involved.

On the Buyer side of all this there are a few things I want to point out: The National Assoication of Realtors (NAR) is wanting it’s members to have Buyers sign an agreement which details how their Realtor will get paid. There has been no change in Kentucky’s state law at all. Why? Because commissions have always been negotiable. The NAR is a professional organization whose membership is voluntary. You can be a real estate agent without being a member of NAR, you just can’t call yourself a Realtor because they own that word. You would have to call yourself a real estate agent. This new NAR rule is really like being a member at a country club and having to wear a tie to dinner because it is a rule.

So back to how things change for Buyers. Well, for those real estate agents that use the NAR form, there will be a place to put what commission is to be paid by either the Buyer or Seller for the Buyer’s Realtor. This has always been on existing Buyer Representation Agreements, so the concept is nothing new. This is the part the media is in a frenzy over……but hold on, there is more to this. Our new offer to purchase contracts have a paragraph now for Buyer’s Realtor commission. Yep. You can write on the offer that you want the commission for your own Buyer’s Realtor to be paid for by the Seller. Aaaaaand this is something I think most all Buyers will want to do since few have the cash to pay for their representation.

There will be Sellers who try not to pay, either directly or indirectly, for a Buyer’s Realtor. They will probably find that not many Buyers look at their home. This is effectively like a For Sale By Owner situation, something most Sellers fail when attempting, largely because most Buyers want their own Realtor involved.

So in the end, what we have is a lot of hoopla with little real change. Most all Sellers will either directly or indirectly pay for the Buyer’s Agent commission one way or another. The Seller now just has a choice of how to do it. The Buyer now has to write in their offer how much, if anything, their Realtor is to be paid by the seller.

3+3=6

3.5+2.5=6

6-3+3=6

6+0=6

Yay, you get to pick your own equation now. Any numbers you want which will total somewhere between 5-6% commission when selling your house, just as it always has. Keep in mind too that a Seller’s Realtor is not going to do 100% of the work for both a Buyer and Seller for the same price. Also, just like any market, there is a point where it just isn’t profitable to do the work. Commissions can only go so low before Realtors just say no.

AVOID houses with these issues

by John Rice

There are 3 things that are never good to see when you view a house.  Since I have a drafting/building material/architectural/construction/landlord background, I tend to always be in mini-home inspection mode when I look at houses with my clients.

I absolutely hate to see cracks in the brick that have been repaired multiple times.  I don’t know if you have ever seen this, but it also can happen to a concrete block wall.  It is where somebody filled in the crack, the crack came back, then it was filled again……….maybe over and over again.  You can tell because often the colors of the caulk or mortar are different.  The bottom line is that the house has movement.  That isn’t going to go away and can’t really be fixed totally.  Yeah, there are expensive things that can be done, but not of them can make it all good again.

Another thing I hate to see is when the seller has gone to great lengths to direct water away from the house.  Sure I appreciate the effort, but that tells you that the house has a big annoying problem.  You know this when you see big black corrugated drain pipe running all around the house.  Maybe if the driveway is right beside the house there will be globs of caulk at the joint.  To me, that just tells me there has been water in the basement before.

I have a house that fit this bill, but I did some permanent fixes.  I say permanent because running drain pipe all over doesn’t really change the way surface water runs to the house.  It just deals with the water running off the roof.  After trying all these cheap fixes and still getting water in the basement, I went into overdrive.  I had the basement water proofed.  That kept water out of the inside of the house, but didn’t keep the water from eroding the soil under and around my foundation.  So, I hired a dude with a Bobcat and a dumptruck to regrade the backyard so surface water ran around my house instead of through it.  I also installed the one piece gutters that don’t clog, buried the downspouts and ran them where they wouldn’t be anywhere near the house.  Since I had one corner that I couldn’t really create positive drainage, I made a valley so that water would run parallel to the house.  Now my neighbor’s basement leaks instead of mine.  I hate that for him, but the reality is that if my house had been graded properly when built, he’d have gotten a lot of it anyway.  It has been over 17 years since I did all that and there has never been another issue.

 You may ask why I tell people to run when this happens if I fixed it in my own home.  The reason is because I think people should feel a sense of peace while they are in their home.  I did all this, but every time it rained hard or the ground was saturated, I was a nervous wreck.  See, the sump pumps could fail or we could have that one time where all my engineering can’t handle the amount of water.  I rent this house out now, but I still worry about it.  That isn’t the homeownership experience I want for my folks!

The next thing that can tell you a lot about the history of a house, even if the seller said in the disclosure that the basement is dry, is when you go down there and they have everything up on pallets.  Or maybe the washer and dryer are sitting on bricks.  People always do that when there has been water in the basement.  See, some sellers feel like if the basement only has a little water, or it only happens every once in a while, that you won’t mind when it happens to you!

These are the 3 things that always make me give a house a thumbs down.  I’d rather see a roof past it’s expiration date, or a furnace that is an antique than any of these.  Water and soil stability issues usually end with nature winning in its battle with man.

Can it be both a Seller’s Market & a Buyer’s Market?

by John Rice

I was on the phone with a good friend of mine who is an agent with my office. As usual, we got to chatting about what the market is like right now.

I said that it seems like we are back to a more normal market where the best of the best listing are still going fast and sometimes for over the list price, while everything else is just sitting on the market waiting for a buyer to even notice it is for sale.

I then when on to postulate that this was due to the COVID market. Back then, the new listings of the day were the pending sales of the next day. Instead of Days on the Market, it was more like Hours on the Market. Every house seemed to sell immediately so there was no need to keep mental track of what was on the market. I think that got buyers and their agents in the habit of only looking at new listings and those with fresh price reductions. If a buyer or their agent wasn’t impressed with the house when it was a new listing or had just gotten a price reduction, it is like it disappeared. It was forgotten forever. It has always been hard to get people to revisit a stale listing, but it got even harder after COVID.

I think I went on and on for a little while longer. Then my good friend said he had heard somebody say this about the current market: “The first 10 days a house is on the market, it is a Seller’s Market. After that it is a Buyer’s Market.”

I told him I thought this was an incredibly simple way of explaining where and why the market is where it is right now. Then I went on to tell him that with me being so wordy, I would probably take 500 words to explain that to somebody……..which I apparently did in only the first 225 words of this post!

When a nice house is a bad choice

by John Rice

Some houses are just a bad choice.

I was out with a buyer this past week. We looked at several new/newer homes in neighborhoods all over town. All within a similar size and price range too.

One house in particular was on my buyer’s radar. It had a 3 car garage. He liked that. Being a car guy, so did I!

Before going to see the house, I looked at the recent sales in the neighborhood. I found that most of the houses were 1400-1600 square feet and were selling for $270-290k. While there were several lots left to build upon, my realtor red flag was raised and frantically swinging when I saw the house we were going to see was also about the size and was priced at $340k. I am probably somebody who personally would pay a premium for that third garage spot, but even I wouldn’t pay $50k more for it.

I thought perhaps the house had some other features that would make it stand out from the significantly cheaper ones that made most of the neighborhood?

Once we got there, it was clear that the third car garage was about the only difference. Upon viewing the house, I noticed that the primary bedroom was sort of small compared to other new homes in the same price range. Also, all the backyards were really small in the whole neighborhood. The location of this neighborhood was also what I would call less than Grade A.

So, what did I do? I told my buyer that I just did not see this house being worth $50k more just for the garage. I also told him that when he goes to sell it, buyers with good realtors will tell their clients the same as well as how the backyard and primary bedroom were small. Long story short, I think this particular house is always going to be harder to sell and likely won’t appreciate as much. I think this neighborhood is a fine pick though for any buyer wanting a new/newer home whose budget tops out at under $300k.

My buyer saw what I was saying and while he would love to have had that huge garage, he chose another house.