Thinking outside the house

Ever wish somebody would tell you EXACTLY what to do to make sure you buy a house that will always be a good investment?  This is something that nobody was thinking about the past few years.  During COVID and the “Never gonna happen again” low interest rates, all houses were selling quickly and for top dollar……many sold for more than they were worth.

Here is my list of what to find in your next house.  The more of these you have, the better your chance of getting a house that will be a wise investment.  Remember, as long as there is a real estate market, people will always buy the best houses that are on the market!

LOCATION:  You hear a lot about this in Real Estate.  A good location really just means that it is convenient to SOMETHING or has a unique asset!  It can be shopping, the airport, the interstate, schools, a park…..really just anything unique or desirable.  A house probably doesn’t have a good location if you find yourself thinking, “Gee, other than being nowhere near anything, that house is great!”  A neighborhood like that will always have to sell on value since it offers nothing else.

SCHOOLS:  Buy in an area that has at least average performing schools.  People moving within Lexington seem to be fine with any decent school.  Out of town buyers always want to be in the best school district.  Look for an area that has a well rounded mix of elementary, middle and high schools.

NEIGHBORHOOD:  New is nice, but established is always better.  Pick a neighborhood that is large enough to not be negatively impacted by the surrounding ones.  Usually a cheaper larger neighborhood will bring down a smaller nicer one.  The opposite holds true too.  Kenwick used to be an inexpensive area.  It was surrounded by Fairway, Ashland Park and Bell Court.    Its location and surrounding neighborhoods started putting it on people’s radar in the 1990’s.  You also want a neighborhood that has it’s own distinct identity.  I don’t mean it has to have giant columns at the entrance with the name chiseled in stone.  Chevy Chase doesn’t have anything that says “You are now entering Chevy Chase”, but you know you are there.  That is identity.  If an area doesn’t have an identity, then it isn’t known for any of the items I am talking about here.

LOT:  Ideally, you want to have a lot that is located well within the perimeter of the neighborhood.  That insulates the impact from inferior areas that border your neighborhood.  While I am on lots, get one that is at least typical in size, shape and contour for the neighborhood.  You don’t want one that isn’t.  It will turn away a lot of buyers……unless there is another frenzy at the time you go to sell.

FLOOR PLAN:  You want a house that has a useable layout and typical sized rooms.  A tiny kitchen in a 4 bedroom house will not bring in as much money.  You’d need to price it lower than the competition or upgrade it to make somebody be willing to overlook it.  If you find yourself saying things like “If it wasn’t for______, that house would be perfect!”, then you know the person looking at houses when it is your turn to sell it will say the same thing.   In a slower market, buyers get very picky. In a fast market, everything sells.

Basically, the goal is to get a house that will be someone’s top pick when it comes time to sell.  I call this ‘Thinking Outside the House.”  Most buyers just want to find a house they like.  The reality of Real Estate is that a lot of a house’s value is determined by things outside of the house itself.

Can it be both a Seller’s Market & a Buyer’s Market?

I was on the phone with a good friend of mine who is an agent with my office. As usual, we got to chatting about what the market is like right now.

I said that it seems like we are back to a more normal market where the best of the best listing are still going fast and sometimes for over the list price, while everything else is just sitting on the market waiting for a buyer to even notice it is for sale.

I then when on to postulate that this was due to the COVID market. Back then, the new listings of the day were the pending sales of the next day. Instead of Days on the Market, it was more like Hours on the Market. Every house seemed to sell immediately so there was no need to keep mental track of what was on the market. I think that got buyers and their agents in the habit of only looking at new listings and those with fresh price reductions. If a buyer or their agent wasn’t impressed with the house when it was a new listing or had just gotten a price reduction, it is like it disappeared. It was forgotten forever. It has always been hard to get people to revisit a stale listing, but it got even harder after COVID.

I think I went on and on for a little while longer. Then my good friend said he had heard somebody say this about the current market: “The first 10 days a house is on the market, it is a Seller’s Market. After that it is a Buyer’s Market.”

I told him I thought this was an incredibly simple way of explaining where and why the market is where it is right now. Then I went on to tell him that with me being so wordy, I would probably take 500 words to explain that to somebody……..which I apparently did in only the first 225 words of this post!

When a nice house is a bad choice

Some houses are just a bad choice.

I was out with a buyer this past week. We looked at several new/newer homes in neighborhoods all over town. All within a similar size and price range too.

One house in particular was on my buyer’s radar. It had a 3 car garage. He liked that. Being a car guy, so did I!

Before going to see the house, I looked at the recent sales in the neighborhood. I found that most of the houses were 1400-1600 square feet and were selling for $270-290k. While there were several lots left to build upon, my realtor red flag was raised and frantically swinging when I saw the house we were going to see was also about the size and was priced at $340k. I am probably somebody who personally would pay a premium for that third garage spot, but even I wouldn’t pay $50k more for it.

I thought perhaps the house had some other features that would make it stand out from the significantly cheaper ones that made most of the neighborhood?

Once we got there, it was clear that the third car garage was about the only difference. Upon viewing the house, I noticed that the primary bedroom was sort of small compared to other new homes in the same price range. Also, all the backyards were really small in the whole neighborhood. The location of this neighborhood was also what I would call less than Grade A.

So, what did I do? I told my buyer that I just did not see this house being worth $50k more just for the garage. I also told him that when he goes to sell it, buyers with good realtors will tell their clients the same as well as how the backyard and primary bedroom were small. Long story short, I think this particular house is always going to be harder to sell and likely won’t appreciate as much. I think this neighborhood is a fine pick though for any buyer wanting a new/newer home whose budget tops out at under $300k.

My buyer saw what I was saying and while he would love to have had that huge garage, he chose another house.

Why buying now always beats waiting

I reckon this is sort of like a market update type of post.

I showed a very affordable house in Berea last weekend. It was very nice. Good sized. More than one bathroom. In good condition with a couple of nice features. The list price was $229k.

The house sold 15 months ago for $205k. From the pictures of when it sold back then, about all that is different is that it was vacant.

15 months ago was a little different of a market. We had just seen rates rapidly rise to about where they are today. Buyers were still in a little bit of shock. Back then I predicted that the market would pick back up as people acclimated to current rates and the period of super low rates disappeared in the rearview mirror. Guess I was correct although that was a pretty safe prediction to have made.

The house sat on the market for a few months back then. It being vacant didn’t help. If at all possible, you always want to sell your house with some furniture in it to warm it up a bit. Most buyers have a hard time envisioning what a house would be like when it is empty.

Back to today. We were one of four offers. We went $5k over the list price and waived the home inspection. Know what? We still didn’t get it.

That means this house sold for at least 14% more in those 15 months. That’s a really good return for not having done any updates and in a small town that isn’t really considered a hotbed for growth.

I am totally sure that the seller of this house was anxious about their purchase 15 months ago. They probably felt like they paid top dollar for it and were anxious about their interest rate. Want to be this person? All you have to do is think about where you’ll be a year, five years, ten years down the road and not focus on today’s fear. Other than the Great Recession, it’s hard to go wrong with homeownership.

When is the best time to sell your house?

I’m seeing a lot of buzz lately saying right around now is the best time of year to sell your house. Many realtors post these articles. I can’t blame them. We are always saying “Now” is a good time to do anything, lol.

I am in now way doubting the statistics. Numbers don’t like. The problem though is knowing what they mean.

Fact: There are more buyers out in the market in the spring. It’s always been this way so I don’t see the newsworthiness of it.

Fact: The likelihood of your house selling for top dollar is less dependent on when you list than it is on the condition of your house and how it fits in the market…..meaning, how do buyers rank your house compared to what is currently available to them in terms of condition, price, floor plan, lot and location.

I have sold plenty of houses in multiple offers the very first day on the market back in 2008-2010. That was when it was an extreme Buyer’s Market.

It is a simple formula really.

You do some prep work. Fix anything that is going to keep a buyer from saying yes to your house. You want them to leave their showing with a positive emotional response. If there is work to be done on your house, they leave with a logical response. They are thinking about what they need to do to your house and how much it is going to cost. If they even make an offer, it will be less since they are deducting the cost of those repairs. So, leave them with nothing to do but fall in love.

Price it right. I don’t mean use what zillow, a recent appraisal or an AVM says the house is worth. Do some real research. See what has recently sold in your neighborhood. See what is pending in your neighborhood. Pending sales, while you don’t know the actually sale price until it closes, can tell you what buyers are doing in real time.

The last step is the most important one. You see what other choices a buyer has maybe 15% below and 15% higher than the value of your house. Then you price your house so it is clearly one of their top choices. Why? Because after 19 years in this business, the one biggest thing I have learned is that every buyer wants the best house they can get for their budget. As long as you have one of those houses, it will sell quickly for top dollar in any market and in any time of the year.