“Are any of the offers cash?”

I went to an open house with a buyer client this past Sunday. We were already out looking at two other listings. This one had an open house so I thought we’d hit it rather than schedule a time to see it before or afterwards.

We got there about 5 minutes early. The realtors were not there yet and there was a line of people waiting to get in.

Once the realtors opened the house, the first thing I asked was how many offers did they have. One of the two that were there said they had 10 offers and were expecting more.

I then asked if any of them were cash. One of the realtors said “We aren’t allowed to say whether or not we do.” That isn’t exactly true in general. It could be that the seller instructed them not to disclose that type of info. If that was the case, kudos to the seller’s realtor for saying this.

But more than likely, they just didn’t want to say.

Why would they not want to say?

Because if there were any cash offers, disclosing so would deter any buyer who would be financing the purchase from making offers. What these realtors want to do is get as many offers as they can, hoping to get one with a higher price or better terms than the cash offer, then go to the realtor with the cash buyer and say “If you can match these terms from the better offers, your buyer can have the house.” Nothing at all wrong with that. They are representing their client’s best interest in doing so. It is what I would do for my sellers as well.

These two realtors were a lot of fun. I enjoyed meeting them. They didn’t know I was a realtor at first, so my response was “Don’t worry about it, I’m a realtor too and I can read between the lines.”

So yes, they did have at least one cash offer.

Should you buy that unique home you fell in love with?

So, you’ve found a house you’ve fallen in love with. It’s sort of out of the mainstream. Maybe it has something strange like an elevator in the bathroom or a kitchen addition shaped like an octagonal spaceship? Whatever it is, you love it and you’re wondering if you should buy it.

The answer is yes. Yes, you should buy it. A house is an investment so you want to make a good financial decision, but it is also an investment in your happiness.

However, there are some things to realize and take into consideration before you do.

The main thing you want to avoid is overpaying for it. Most houses like I am talking about tend to have limited appeal in the broader market. It can be difficult to determine the market value since it is nothing like the comparable sales in the area that a realtor or appraiser would use. It takes a bit more of a gut feeling than hard science to figure it out.

Realize that when it comes time for you to sell it, it might take longer. You’ll be waiting for somebody just like you who cherishes all its quirks and features. The good thing about this type of house is that once you find that person, they usually don’t have a back up plan. They aren’t interested in any other house on the market.

Many years ago, I had a very unique home listed. It was an old house that had been totally renovated inside. It looked old on the outside but new on the inside. It was in town but it had 3 acres and felt like a mini-farm. The primary bedroom was “Open concept.” There was no door going to the upstairs primary bedroom. You just walked up the stairs and just like that, you were IN the bedroom once you took that last step. Also totally open was the bathroom. Like, the shower and even the toilet were just sitting there visible from the top of the staircase and from any vantage point in the bedroom. It took forever to sell. The buyers said they had been looking for a long time and fell in love with this place. They had to have it. Literally probably 100 other buyers had given it a very hard pass. That is just how it goes with unique houses.

That’s all I got. Buy it right. Go in knowing it might not be easy to sell. Enjoy your stay in the house between those two points in time.

Airbnbust?

One of the most valuable lessons I learned from my dad is how cycles work.

I remember one of the first times I ever thought about such things was when we lived in a starter home neighborhood in Frankfort. I remember him telling me that the houses in our neighborhood would eventually get run down because everybody who buys such an entry level home only plans to stay there for a few years. You don’t do a room addition, kitchen renovation or anything when you’re thinking so short term. Forty years later, the neighborhood is pretty run down. Houses only got fixed up when the values got so low that an investor could buy them cheap enough to make a profit.

Another thing I learned about cycles is to expect them. There will be good times. There will be bad times. Most people view the good times as the norm and are shocked when bad times come.

We are there now with the short term rental market.

Over the past few years, I’ve had several clients ask me about getting into the STR (Short term rental) market. I have always been cautiously optimistic. I tell them sure, you can make some money, but have a backup plan because one day, the market will be saturated and/or demand will not be as strong. We had several things line up perfectly all at once to create the buzz for short term rentals. We had many people wanting to travel after the pandemic, we had a robust economy, and we had people eager to try using an Airbnb. I knew that would not last forever, especially with so many so eager to buy a house and use it for short term rentals.

The downside of the cycle is happening now. I am on a facebook group for real estate investors. Just about everybody is saying their bookings are waaaaaaay down compared to last year. We have several things that have lined up but none of them are good: Everybody travelled a lot after the pandemic and demand is down, we have a not-so-robust economy, and people are a little more cautious of short term rentals (Excessive fees, terrible hosts, pretty houses in scary areas, etc.)

In time, demand will pick up. Those who were merely Airbnb hobbyists will get out of the market leaving only those who view it as a serious business. This is part of a cycle too.

So what’s my advice to anybody wanting to buy real estate for STRs? Have a backup plan. Make sure the numbers also work as a long term rentals. Be ready to pivot when needed. Buy a property that is a good investment. Don’t buy a terrible house in a slummy neighborhood where the only desirable feature would be your trendy decor. Have an exit plan because one day you will be as excited to sell your property as you were the day you bought it.

What to do when you’ve gotta sell your old house first

I feel for people in this situation. I mean, the market is so tough right now. Even buyers who do NOT have to sell their old house before buying their next one are struggling to be competitive in multiple offers.

The odds of you finding a seller who will work with you when they have other offers without a similar contingency are equal to winning the lottery. Hoping for the best isn’t realistic. Here are some not so fun options that will ultimately end up with you getting your next home.

  1. List your house. Sell it. Pack up. Move out. Rent or stay somewhere short term until the house you want hits the market. Then buy it. This gets you where you wanted to be, the only negative is that you will end up moving twice.
  2. List your house. Sell it. Only take offers from buyers who will let you rent back after the closing. Then begin your search and only move once. Most buyers will give you maaaaybe 30-60 days after closing before they will want to be able to move into their new home. This allows you to buy something but you’re under pressure to find and close one within that time period. If you can’t, you’ll have to move out and stay somewhere short term.
  3. Only look at houses that have been on the market for more than about a week. Often these are the less desirable homes since the rush of buyers who saw it when it was a hot new listing decided they didn’t want it. The beauty of this plan is that you only move once and likely are not competing at all with other buyers. This is a good thing. A seller who only has one offer is much more likely to accept a contingency offer than one who has better choices.

So there you go. None of these are exciting. All are a lot of work. But they are real solutions to today’s real estate issues.

The single most important thing when selling your house (or anything really)

I did it again.

I bought another car. For people who know me, this is par for the course. I am always falling in and out of love with cars and trading them like crazy.

If you’re wondering how me getting a new car is related to real estate, it is because of pricing.

The car I bought was not expensive. It is just a little Japanese sports car that is fun to drive. A new version came out during COVID and they have been in short supply ever since. You never see one on a lot. Most are sold before they arrive. Dealers are taking deposits on them and telling people they will call when the car arrives.

I went to a Volkswagon car show with my oldest son and his girlfriend last weekend. We had lunch on the way home. They asked about the deposit I had on another one of these cars at a local dealership. I replied that I was told it should arrive later this month. He then went on a mission of finding me one that was immediately available. He found one about 250 miles away in Indiana.

He called to confirm that it was in fact in stock. It was. I remember thinking to myself “Why is this car in stock, collecting dust on a dealer’s lot when every other one is pre-sold???”

Ahhhhhh……the price!

This dealer wanted $9000 over the MSRP price.

I told the salesperson that I was definitely interested in the car but there was no way I was taking it at $9000 over MSRP. He started telling me what a hot car it was and how many calls they get on it. I am totally sure all that is true. I’m a realtor, so I know how markets for things for sale work. This is a super hot car in high demand, but the reason it hasn’t sold is that it was overpriced.

Here are some truths about any market:

  1. You cannot sell something for more than it is worth.
  2. The whole market determines the value, not just the seller.
  3. A buyer is defined as ready, willing and able. (At $9k over list for a very affordable car, that price pushed the total cost well over budget for the target buyers, thus knocking out the “Able” part of those three requirements.)

Like real estate, you cannot sell the most gorgeous $500k house in a highly sought after neighborhood for $750k. If you try, it will sit on the market and you will reduce the price until those ready, willing and able buyers think it is worth it.

But isn’t the market still hot? Yes, it is. Prices are still going up in our area. That means you still, like always, have to price a house for something a buyer will pay. A hot market doesn’t mean you can sell it for more than it is worth. It just means it will sell quickly and many buyers will want it and be eager to pay top dollar….not more than top dollar. If you ever see a house that is sitting on the market and wonder why it hasn’t sold, literally 100% of the time it is due to price. It may have some odd feature or be in bad shape, but it will definitely sell when the asking price is in line with what Buyer’s think it is worth.

So what happened with the car? They came down to $6k over MSRP and I drove up and got it yesterday. I suspect had they priced it at that from the beginning, it would have immediately sold.