buy

Can it be both a Seller’s Market & a Buyer’s Market?

by John Rice

I was on the phone with a good friend of mine who is an agent with my office. As usual, we got to chatting about what the market is like right now.

I said that it seems like we are back to a more normal market where the best of the best listing are still going fast and sometimes for over the list price, while everything else is just sitting on the market waiting for a buyer to even notice it is for sale.

I then when on to postulate that this was due to the COVID market. Back then, the new listings of the day were the pending sales of the next day. Instead of Days on the Market, it was more like Hours on the Market. Every house seemed to sell immediately so there was no need to keep mental track of what was on the market. I think that got buyers and their agents in the habit of only looking at new listings and those with fresh price reductions. If a buyer or their agent wasn’t impressed with the house when it was a new listing or had just gotten a price reduction, it is like it disappeared. It was forgotten forever. It has always been hard to get people to revisit a stale listing, but it got even harder after COVID.

I think I went on and on for a little while longer. Then my good friend said he had heard somebody say this about the current market: “The first 10 days a house is on the market, it is a Seller’s Market. After that it is a Buyer’s Market.”

I told him I thought this was an incredibly simple way of explaining where and why the market is where it is right now. Then I went on to tell him that with me being so wordy, I would probably take 500 words to explain that to somebody……..which I apparently did in only the first 225 words of this post!

When a nice house is a bad choice

by John Rice

Some houses are just a bad choice.

I was out with a buyer this past week. We looked at several new/newer homes in neighborhoods all over town. All within a similar size and price range too.

One house in particular was on my buyer’s radar. It had a 3 car garage. He liked that. Being a car guy, so did I!

Before going to see the house, I looked at the recent sales in the neighborhood. I found that most of the houses were 1400-1600 square feet and were selling for $270-290k. While there were several lots left to build upon, my realtor red flag was raised and frantically swinging when I saw the house we were going to see was also about the size and was priced at $340k. I am probably somebody who personally would pay a premium for that third garage spot, but even I wouldn’t pay $50k more for it.

I thought perhaps the house had some other features that would make it stand out from the significantly cheaper ones that made most of the neighborhood?

Once we got there, it was clear that the third car garage was about the only difference. Upon viewing the house, I noticed that the primary bedroom was sort of small compared to other new homes in the same price range. Also, all the backyards were really small in the whole neighborhood. The location of this neighborhood was also what I would call less than Grade A.

So, what did I do? I told my buyer that I just did not see this house being worth $50k more just for the garage. I also told him that when he goes to sell it, buyers with good realtors will tell their clients the same as well as how the backyard and primary bedroom were small. Long story short, I think this particular house is always going to be harder to sell and likely won’t appreciate as much. I think this neighborhood is a fine pick though for any buyer wanting a new/newer home whose budget tops out at under $300k.

My buyer saw what I was saying and while he would love to have had that huge garage, he chose another house.

Do you really need a Buyer’s Agent?

by John Rice

YES!! YES!! YES!!

I’m seeing a lot in the news that the future of real estate might do without the role of a Buyer’s Agent.

That sort of scares me. Not because half of my work is with buyers. It scares me because buyers need an agent, almost more than sellers need a listing agent.

Having cut my teeth in the worst market in all of real estate history, I can tell you first hand that a buyer doesn’t know if they have made a mistake in picking a house, or overpaid, until they sell their home. It has been a good market for so long that I think most people think all there is to buying a house is picking the one they like…….as if it is as simple as choosing which product to buy on Amazon. One day, every buyer will become a seller. Your home may be a noose around your neck and you don’t even know it yet.

This was a common scenario for me when I was called to list a house between 2008 and 2011:

Seller calls me to list. They say they paid full price in multiple offers to get their house in 2003-2005. They assumed it would always be that way when they needed to sell. Then I have to tell them their house is worth less than they paid and they really should have called me before they bought the place. I could have saved them not only money, but a lot of time, frustration and headache.

I frequently saw where a spouse was transferred here. Their home back wherever they were from was on the market. The spouse was living in a studio apartment here until their house back home sold. The family was separated. Nobody was happy. Trust me, you don’t want to be this buyer.

This is how a Seller’s Market works: EVERYTHING sells for top dollar and fast since there aren’t many options. This is how a Buyer’s Market works: ONLY the choice, Grade A homes in Grade A neighborhoods sell fast and for top dollar. Everything else goes for less. Have a house in a less desirable school district? Have a house with an awkward floor plan? Have a house with a terrible lot (Think steep driveway, no privacy, backing to a busy road, etc)? Good luck selling in a Buyer’s Market because every buyer can get that Grade A house. You need to have a big price difference between those Grade A homes and your home to entice a buyer.

Aaaaaaaand you need a Buyer’s Agent who can tell you these things BEFORE you buy a house.

How to get $65k for a down payment

by John Rice

The starter home.

It was that first home that you really were not all that exciting about living in. Yeah, you were coming out of an apartment so it seemed liked a luxury to park in your own driveway or maybe have your own washer and dryer. But it was a place you knew you wouldn’t stay in forever. The goal was to get on what we used to call “The Property Ladder” just to start building equity. Then you’d take that equity with you to your next home, which was nicer and had more of what you really wanted.

The trend I’ve noticed lately is most first time buyers want to start off with their second home. They can’t afford it now, which is the problem. Most would rather complain about how past generations had it better than to buy a house they don’t really love, so they keep renting……as if we somehow loved living in a 1000 square foot home with only one bathroom. We didn’t, trust me!

I don’t think many of them see that the way to get to the house they really want is to start with what you can afford and build the equity. Equity is a pleasant sounding word that means your home increases in value while you sleep and part of your payment goes towards reducing the balance on the loan. Building equity is what my dad used to call “Leveraging time.” If you are young, leverage the time of your youth by building equity.

If you were to buy a boring $250k house and commit to staying there for 5 years, you would have paid down about $15k of the loan. Nice, but there is more. Let’s say your $250k house appreciates at 5% per year for each of those 5 years you are staying. Your house should be worth about $320k. At the end of those 5 years, you only owe about $235k. When you go to buy that next house, the one you really are excited to own, you’ll have about $65k to put down on it after things like some maintenance and real estate commissions.

What I love about this is that you are double dipping in the world of money. Your loan balance goes down and the value of your home goes up every month. Win-Win.

Getting a starter home is how you get to the house you really want within 5 years. Renting won’t get you there. Saving money for a larger down payment won’t get you there. Go buy a house you can afford today. Find the best one there is. Live there for 5 years. It’s what every generation did that now seems to have such nice homes.

Guess how long I’ve been a Realtor

by John Rice

N I N E T E E N

Y E A R S

That’s how long I’ve been a realtor. March 2005. It’s kind of hard for me to believe. One day I’m the new kid in town fresh with enthusiasm. Then all the sudden all this time passes. Now I’m the old dude with all the wisdom and experience that one only gains with time.

I was going to write about all the changes in real estate over the course of my career. I was going to say that while there have been changes in execution, pretty much everything is still the same. I even had some analogy about how whether you had a YETI or a Stanley Cup, what you put inside is the same and they both serve the same purpose.

But I will skip all that. Maybe next year.

So what am I going to say in this post? I am going to talk about how it feels having been a realtor for this long.

It’s been a great ride overall. Remember, I was the kid who was reading the real estate section of the Sunday newspaper. I would skip school once I got my driver’s license and cruise around neighborhoods looking at houses. I had no idea that one day I would be able to check out the inside of some of the houses that caught my eye.

I also had no idea the success this would bring. Pretty much everybody I told I was going into real estate said “Oh, you’ll do great at that!” I had no idea what they meant but I appreciated the encouragement. I had no idea that I would become one of the top producing realtors when at my peak. It was a lot of fun to reach that level. LOL, I don’t know if I want to do that again though. It was so much stress. I am much happier now and think I am a better realtor only being up to my shoulders with work instead of drowning in it.

Another feeling I have is gratitude. I am smart enough to realize none of this would have happened without my family, friends and clients.

My wife would keep dinner warm on the stove all those nights I had to work. Often I would have paperwork to do and she would bring a plate up to my office. I would not have been able to have gotten into real estate if she didn’t have a good job that covered all our expenses those early years.

My parents always encouraged me to do whatever I wanted to do. They also would watch my two sons when I had to rush out to show a house…..although, haha, they benefited as much from that as I did. My dad used to be an attorney. He’s probably given me a million dollars of legal advice for free.

Then there are my friends. Many of them would watch my sons too when I had to work. Many of them trusted me for their real estate needs when I was a newbie. A lot of them sent their friends, co-workers or family to me.

And my clients. Many of you have become friends. Ultimately I have you to thank because without you, none of this would have come to fruition.

I don’t think I have done anything to deserve all the wonderful things that have happened to me over my career. That’s probably what is the most humbling part of it all……that I am blessed by the goodness of others and not as a result of anything I have done.

And I am not done yet. Here’s to another 19 years!