Are Investors ruining the market?

Are real estate investors who buy single family homes ruining the market for other buyers and driving up rent?

Unpopular opinion, but I say no.

Sure, many of these investors might make terrible landlords. None of us like the robocalls we get asking to sell our houses to them…..but they are not ruining the market and driving up rent. I am by no means defending them or their actions. I am just saying that they are not the root of the problem.

I spent a couple weeks in Florida recently where I read an article saying how large scale investors were ruining the market. They were outbidding other buyers. They were reducing the number of homes available for owner-occupant buyers. They were raising the rent and making housing unaffordable.

This type of logic drives me crazy. Let me pick apart a few things here:

For every house for sale, that means there is both a Buyer and a Seller. If one Buyer is outbidding another, that means there are not enough houses for sale. This is a Supply and Demand issue. Also, the never mentioned seller who is about to become a buyer is happy with the terms they got.

Are they reducing the number of homes for sale? Yes, but isn’t the same true for anybody who buys an available home? Again, the issue is the imbalance between Supply and Demand.

Are they raising rent and making housing unaffordable? This one always amazes me. We have all just survived a crazy period of inflation where the cost of everything went up. Somehow most people single out housing, as if that shouldn’t have also been affected by inflation. Like we are shocked and appalled that housing costs, whether renting or buying, went crazy at the same time when everything else did too?

What this article seems to forget is the tenants. Where would they be if all the sudden there were no properties to rent? It isn’t like investors are buying these houses and keeping them empty. There is just as much demand for single family rental homes as there are for people wanting to buy them and live in them. If rent exceeds market demand, houses will sit vacant and investors will have to lower the rent to get a tenant. Again, Supply and Demand.

Are you seeing a theme here? Supply and Demand. There is a short supply of houses for sale for investors and owner-occupants. There is a short supply of houses for rent for those who cannot afford to buy or choose not to. Having more demand than supply is the problem here.

Some say that the issue is sellers just aren’t selling these days. Okay, true. But let’s think this through. We have far more people wanting to buy AND to rent houses. If all the sudden everybody decided to move, we would still have more people than houses because everybody living in their current house would also need another house. What’s that? Supply and Demand.

Building more homes is the only real solution to this. It is what the writers of the article I read should be encouraging if they honestly feel like everyone should be able to afford to buy or rent a home. The demand is there. The supply is the issue. Until there is a better balance, prices for buyers and tenants will not change.

Well Played Sir, Well Played….Sort of

After nearly 19 years in this business, you sure learn to read the signs. Watching what people do (or don’t do) can often tell you a different story than the one they are telling you with their lips.

I had a buyer interested in a property. We made a formal offer. It was verbally countered. Verbal counters happen. They can be a way of making the negotiations move along faster. They can also be used to “Not” formally counter. See, if a Seller formally counters an offer, they can’t accept another offer without withdrawing their counter. Sometimes a verbal counter is made to keep the other parties options open.

My Buyer decided not to budge from their original offer. I assumed the deal was dead.

A couple of hours later the Seller’s realtor texted saying the Seller maaaaay accept my Buyer’s offer amount if we could close in 3 days. I immediately told the other realtor exactly what my Buyer would do in response. We could not close in 3 days but could within 10 days.

Then I hear nothing.

This is when I start getting suspicious because normally, when a Seller and Buyer agree on a price, everybody usually get really motivated to make a deal work out.

Then I ask again for a reply.

I still get radio silence.

Then out of the blue, exactly what I suspected was happening came to light. There was another offer. The other realtor said another offer had been made which was better than the one my Buyer had made.

So here is what really happened:

  1. By verbally countering our offer, this agent kept our offer alive and could legitimately tell the other Buyer’s realtor that there was another offer on the table. This used our offer as leverage to get the best terms for the Seller from the other Buyer.
  2. By not replying to us in a timely fashion, it hedged the Seller’s bets because if the other offer didn’t work out, they had us as a backup plan.

Was there anything wrong in doing this? Yes and no.

I am not at all upset about the other agent trying to get the best results for his client. I do the same for mine. Kudos to him for this part of his actions.

The only thing I am salty about is that he made a counter and then ghosted me for almost two full days. I think he should have told me in a reasonable amount of time that there was another offer, or that his Seller was either accepting/rejecting/countering the revised terms I had proposed.

“Are any of the offers cash?”

I went to an open house with a buyer client this past Sunday. We were already out looking at two other listings. This one had an open house so I thought we’d hit it rather than schedule a time to see it before or afterwards.

We got there about 5 minutes early. The realtors were not there yet and there was a line of people waiting to get in.

Once the realtors opened the house, the first thing I asked was how many offers did they have. One of the two that were there said they had 10 offers and were expecting more.

I then asked if any of them were cash. One of the realtors said “We aren’t allowed to say whether or not we do.” That isn’t exactly true in general. It could be that the seller instructed them not to disclose that type of info. If that was the case, kudos to the seller’s realtor for saying this.

But more than likely, they just didn’t want to say.

Why would they not want to say?

Because if there were any cash offers, disclosing so would deter any buyer who would be financing the purchase from making offers. What these realtors want to do is get as many offers as they can, hoping to get one with a higher price or better terms than the cash offer, then go to the realtor with the cash buyer and say “If you can match these terms from the better offers, your buyer can have the house.” Nothing at all wrong with that. They are representing their client’s best interest in doing so. It is what I would do for my sellers as well.

These two realtors were a lot of fun. I enjoyed meeting them. They didn’t know I was a realtor at first, so my response was “Don’t worry about it, I’m a realtor too and I can read between the lines.”

So yes, they did have at least one cash offer.

Here’s why you’re not winning in multiple offers

Some offers are better than others. Some people think it is all about who makes the highest offer but there are other things to take into consideration.

Here is the hierarchy of offers:

  1. Cash offer.
  2. Conventional loan with large down payment.
  3. Conventional loan with smaller down payment.
  4. FHA/VA loans. (Because the appraiser for these loan types does a minor assessment of the house. If the condition does not meet minimum standards set out for each loan type, the Seller HAS to do the repairs in order for the Buyer to get their loan.)
  5. Any loan with down payment assistance where there are two loans that have to go through two different underwriting guidelines.

Then there is the offer amount:

  1. Offer over list price.
  2. Offer list price.
  3. Offer less than list price.

Then there is the home inspection. Three choices there:

  1. No home inspection at all.
  2. Buyer does home inspection but won’t ask for repairs. Will either accept the house or walk away.
  3. Buyer wants to negotiate repairs with Seller.

Then there is the appriasal:

  1. Buyer will cover any possible gap between sale price and appraised value in cash.
  2. Buyer won’t cover any possible gap between sale price and appraised value in cash.

Then there is the Buyer’s lender:

  1. Buyer will use a local lender that every realtor knows does a good job.
  2. Buyer will use a non-local mortgage company.
  3. Buyer will use a local lender that every realtor knows preapproves any buyer with a pulse.
  4. Buyer will use a bank that begins with the letter C that everybody knows will be difficult to work with and that it is unlikely to close on time.

Then there is the closing date and when the buyer can move in the house:

  1. Buyer’s realtor found out when Sellers want to close and put that date on the offer.
  2. Buyer’s realtor doesn’t know to ask this and that it can really help make their client’s offer more attractive.

Then there are contingencies:

  1. Buyer has no contingencies.
  2. Buyer needs to close their old house first in order to buy the new one.
  3. Buyer needs to sell their old house first in order to buy the new one, meaning it currently may not be on the market and definitely doesn’t have a contract on it.

Then there are closing costs:

  1. Buyer will pay their own closing costs.
  2. Buyer needs Seller to pay some of their closing costs.
  3. Buyer needs Seller to pay all of their closing costs.

What are your numbers? If you are a 1 in all of these, go out and make your offer. You will probably get the house. If you are a low number in any of these, best of luck. If you are the bottom of any or all of these, then you are wasting your time. Sorry, but you are. You are not going to get a house making an offer less than list price with an FHA loan, wanting to negotiate repairs with the Seller and needing to close or sell your old house.

Now that you know all the things a listing realtor is thinking about when they process all the offers, do what you can to make your offer the best it can possibly be. If you are doing a conventional loan and think you are going up against other cash offers, maybe waive the home inspection and offer to let the seller stay in the house briefly after the closing? If you have to close on your old house to buy, make your offer the highest one they get (realize too that moving twice costs money and it might be cheaper to pay the most for a house verses paying to move twice, live somewhere temporarily and then look for another house which will have gone up in value while you wait.)

When I moved in 2012, I was up against 4 other offers. Two of them were cash. That was unheard of back then but common today. I knew I couldn’t compete with cash so I went a little over the list price, waived the home inspection and offered to let the Sellers rent back from me until they found their new house. This was appealing to them since they had not found their new house yet.

Is cash still King?

Many years ago when the market was terrible, a cash buyer had the upper hand when buying a house.  Lending was tightening up.  Appraisals were coming in for less than the purchase price.  Having a cash buyer made a seller feel like it was a sure thing.

Today having cash is not as impressive to most sellers.  Lenders are happy to loan money.  Few deals fall apart due to financing.  If cash makes a deal 100% solid, a preapproval letter make it 99% solid to most sellers.

Also, having cash is fairly common.  25% of my 2018 sales were for cash.  I am not making that up or rounding up or down.  I was hoping the percentage would come in at a more random sounding number, but 10 of my 40 sales last year were paid for with cash.  All were owner-occupant buyers.  None were investors.

I had a buyer write a cash offer last week on an awesome house.  There were 14 offers.  My buyer’s offer and 3 other offers were cash.

In 2019, when does having cash really matter?  If the house is such a fixer upper that it may not qualify for traditional financing, having cash is still King.  If the seller wants a fast closing, cash is still King because a loan will usually take 3-4 weeks.  A cash sale can close within days.  If a seller is worried about the appraisal, then cash is still King because there is no appraisal unless the buyer just wants one.  Short of these 3 situations, having cash doesn’t really tip the scales in your favor like it used to.