downtown Lexington

Did you pick the right house?

by John Rice

How do you know if you’ve picked THE right house? What IF a better ones comes on the market after you make a decision? How do you know you WON’T regret your decision?

There is no way that you or I can really answer those questions, so I am not going to try. What I can offer are some tips based on my experience that might prevent you from feeling this way. 

How do you know if it is THE house? I think any house you are afraid somebody else will buy out from under you shows it is pretty high on your list. If you can just totally see yourself  living in the house, it may be the one. Same thing with comparing other houses to it. If you are doing that, it means that one is at the top of your list.

How can you prevent regretting your decision? I think the best thing you can do is to take your time in reaching your decision. Granted, sometimes when everybody else wants the house too, you don’t have that luxury. I like it when people get to see a house for the second time. You always notice more of the bad stuff on the second visit. It is even better if you come back at a different time of day. Rooms will look different with the sun on the opposite side of the house. Something that I’ve always told buyers to do, and not many actually have done it, is to drive around the neighborhood on a nice warm Friday or Saturday night. That will bring out anybody that will be annoying, so you won’t have any surprises later. Tough luck if it is winter.

There are a couple other things that bring on regret: Having a tight timeline and getting so tired of looking that you just want it over with. If you have a tight timeline, preparation is the key. I have done a lot of work for people moving form out of town. They’ll only be in town for a few days and have to pick a house. I try to work with them as soon as I know they will be coming here. It all usually happens by e-mail or text, but we chat about neighborhoods, parts of town I think they’ll like, etc. Then I’ll start previewing houses for them. At this point it is all about eliminating houses. You’re not really looking for the right one, you’re trying to whittle down the list to a manageable amount for them to see when they get here. 

Now, about getting tired of looking. If you find yourself here and can do it, just take a break. It is a really scary place to be. It sneaks up on you like a sunburn. Ignore your Zillow app. Maybe have your agent preview houses. By the time you get to this point, your agent should really know what will work for you and what won’t. 

Okay. One more question left?  How will you know a better house won’t come on the market as soon as you sign a contract? Simple answer. You won’t. I tell people to quit looking at houses online once you get past the inspections. If you don’t look, you’ll never know. And if you are the type that won’t take this advice, remember that sometimes houses look better online than they do in person. You are comparing your house in reality to the select pictures that the listing agents wants you to see……So that other house probably isn’t as good in reality as you are picturing it in your head. You got a good house, now just enjoy it.

Airbnbust?

by John Rice

One of the most valuable lessons I learned from my dad is how cycles work.

I remember one of the first times I ever thought about such things was when we lived in a starter home neighborhood in Frankfort. I remember him telling me that the houses in our neighborhood would eventually get run down because everybody who buys such an entry level home only plans to stay there for a few years. You don’t do a room addition, kitchen renovation or anything when you’re thinking so short term. Forty years later, the neighborhood is pretty run down. Houses only got fixed up when the values got so low that an investor could buy them cheap enough to make a profit.

Another thing I learned about cycles is to expect them. There will be good times. There will be bad times. Most people view the good times as the norm and are shocked when bad times come.

We are there now with the short term rental market.

Over the past few years, I’ve had several clients ask me about getting into the STR (Short term rental) market. I have always been cautiously optimistic. I tell them sure, you can make some money, but have a backup plan because one day, the market will be saturated and/or demand will not be as strong. We had several things line up perfectly all at once to create the buzz for short term rentals. We had many people wanting to travel after the pandemic, we had a robust economy, and we had people eager to try using an Airbnb. I knew that would not last forever, especially with so many so eager to buy a house and use it for short term rentals.

The downside of the cycle is happening now. I am on a facebook group for real estate investors. Just about everybody is saying their bookings are waaaaaaay down compared to last year. We have several things that have lined up but none of them are good: Everybody travelled a lot after the pandemic and demand is down, we have a not-so-robust economy, and people are a little more cautious of short term rentals (Excessive fees, terrible hosts, pretty houses in scary areas, etc.)

In time, demand will pick up. Those who were merely Airbnb hobbyists will get out of the market leaving only those who view it as a serious business. This is part of a cycle too.

So what’s my advice to anybody wanting to buy real estate for STRs? Have a backup plan. Make sure the numbers also work as a long term rentals. Be ready to pivot when needed. Buy a property that is a good investment. Don’t buy a terrible house in a slummy neighborhood where the only desirable feature would be your trendy decor. Have an exit plan because one day you will be as excited to sell your property as you were the day you bought it.

Always make this your first priority when picking a house

by John Rice

Let’s face it, most houses in any price range are all pretty similar. It is rare in Lexington to get something unique in the sense of a feature or design that is different from anything else. We have old houses that mostly have the same character from the time period they were built. We have new houses with their open floor plans. We have updated houses. We have outdated houses. We mostly have houses with average lots. We also have houses with less than average lots. Basically you can pick what part of town you want, what age house you want, whether you have to have it updated or not and just like that, you’ll find about every house that makes your list is pretty darn similar to every other house on your list.

While this isn’t necessarily a bad think, it can make your house harder to sell whenever the market softens……which right now appears will never happen.

Tastes change. Things go out of style. The 90s saw a bread drawer in the corner of every kitchen plus a built in desk. Cherry cabinets were the rage. It won’t be all too long before white shaker cabinets and shiplap will become negatives to buyers rather than something that makes them want the house.

What should you do to make your house be among the best when you go to sell it? The best thing to do is pick a good lot. Why? It never goes out of style and never needs updating.

I recently sold a townhouse in a nice complex on the edge of downtown. The location is great and always will be. The thing is that about half the units are totally identical to each other. The one I sold was an end unit. That means you only share a wall with one neighbor. It also gives you windows on the other side. This unit backed to the houses in a historic neighborhood. You looked out your rear windows and saw trees and grass with the neighboring houses far away. The other units all backed to each other. This unit was on the edge of the complex. It had some greenspace across the street out front. All the others faced other units. There was plenty of guest parking and since it was on the edge of the complex, it is the least likely to be used. This was the best lot in the entire complex.

I told my buyers to picture it is 2008 all over again. They decide to sell when there are 15 other identical units for sale at the same time. Which unit is that one buyer in the market going to pick? Their unit, because the lot will never go out of style and never need updating.

What’s been on my mind lately?

by John Rice

I always joke that I am a bad combination of OCD and ADD.  A lot goes through my mind, especially as I drive around Lexington.

Here are some things that have popped in my mind lately:

1.  Masterson Station is no longer the “Affordable” side of town.  I don’t know if you have noticed, but a lot of the new homes in Masterson and the various new neighborhoods that have their own name but in 15 years will be called Masterson are not cheap.  I am seeing more and more houses for over $300k.

2.  The giant dice looking metal things by Local’s are really cool.  I enjoy seeing the murals, art and other well designed structures around town.

3. There are more and more small condo/townhouse projects all over town.  I still think they are a little risky.  Lexington has always been mostly a single family home type of town.  Condos or townhouses were always a niche market with most of them being geared towards first time buyers or empty nesters.  I’ll wait to see how well they sell in a soft market and if they appreciate before I give them a Thumb’s Up.  I guess the issue is nobody plans on staying in one forever.  You’re going to need the next generation to want to live in them too for there to be a future market.  Also, way to many of the 10-15 year old condos downtown are rentals now.

4.  I’m turning into a curmudgeon Gen Xer I guess because I miss the old days when you dropped some quarters in a meter to park downtown.  Now you have to enter your license plate number, hit a bunch of buttons on a keypad and then drop in your quarters.  What was wrong with the old way??