Neighborhoods that benefited the most from school district changes

I get a lot of questions about school districts and property values.  Most of the time there is nothing to worry about unless your neighborhood goes from having average/above average schools to getting ones that are worse.    A lateral move doesn’t really matter.  The best situation is when you have poorer performing schools and get better ones….which is the topic of today’s blog post.

Here are the top 3 winners in my opinion.  The biggest changes in the district boundaries were in the Hamburg/40509 area, so these are all out that way:

3.  The Home Place/Gleneagles.  The cat got out of the bag early on this one.  The school district bought land in this area and everybody knew that these 2 neighborhoods would go to the new school.  Suddenly it became a more desirable place to buy and prices went up.

2.  Greenbrier.  Several years ago I would get the same feedback from my buyers after showing houses in this neighborhood.  They would say “I love the neighborhood and all the space out here, but I don’t have $100k to renovate this house AND pay for private school.”  So, they wouldn’t buy it.  Now that “The Brier” is getting the new elementary and new high school, houses are selling and being renovated.

1.  Chilesburg.  Use to be only the first phase of that neighborhood went to Athens-Chilesburg Elementary (A.C.E.).  It never really made any sense since the school was right in the middle of the neighborhood.  The neighborhood got the school and prices have really gone up.  Use to be if you were in the mid $200k range and wanted that school, Andover Hills was your only option.  There use to be a big gap between similar sized houses in these two neighborhoods.  Not any more.  Chilesburg can pull the same money per sqaure foot as Andover Hills can now.  A 2500 square foot 4 bedroom house in Chilesburg use to be about $190-225k several years ago.  Practically the same floor plan in Andover Hills was getting $225-245k.  Now both are in the $245-255k range.

LEXington market trends

Ok, we all know there is a shortage of inventory and houses are selling fast….but there is more going on in this town than just that.

Here is what I am seeing in 2016:

  •  Waiting.  Lots of waiting in line to see a new listing it’s first day on the market.  Everybody is so focused on new listings.  Granted, you do want to see them before they sell, but I think there has been more of a shift in how the public gets listings.  Everybody has saved searches and gets alerts when there is a new listing.  If it doesn’t interest them at that very moment, they rarely will consider seeing it later.  They just wait for the next new listing.  That is bad news for sellers who don’t sell their houses immediately, and proof that starting out with the best presentation and the right list price is critical.
  • Not ALL houses are selling as fast as you would think.  Only the good ones are selling immediately.  In Fayette County, there are 555 houses for sale priced between $100k and $500k.  Of those, 152 have been on the market for more than 90 days.  That is almost 1/3 of the available houses.  Savvy buyers go back and look at those 152 to see if they can get it for cheaper and avoid the multiple offer frenzy.
  • New construction on the edge of town isn’t doing so well.  I think Lexington is finally big enough that people see a big difference between being closer in town and on the edge of town.  I am seeing more and more people wanting to be closer in to town….heck, I feel that urge too since I live just past Hamburg and am always stuck in traffic.  One of the most successful new construction neighborhoods has been Summerfield.  I think it is about location more than anything.  You are 10 minutes from downtown and 5 minutes to Hamburg.  The best of both worlds really.
  • Smaller ranch houses in nice neighborhoods are getting amazing money.  I’m seeing 1200-1400 square foot houses getting close to $170k in neighborhoods like Cooper Trace, Ashbrooke, Wyndham Hills, Wyndham Downs and Harrods Point.
  •   Lots of people retiring in Lexington…..even Clint Eastwood is moving here, if you believe everything you see on Facebook 😉  An area super popular with retirees is Brookhaven and Lansdowne.  There are lots of nice ranches on good lots in this area.  You are close to downtown, can hop on New Circle at Tates Creek and go anywhere, cut across roads like Regency, Larkin, Zandale or Reynolds to get to anything on Nicholasville Road.  Plus you have cool places like The Lansdowne Club, Lansdowne Shoppes and are 1o minutes to Chevy Chase.

It sure will be interesting to see what comes for the rest of this year.  I am hearing from other realtors that they are having a hard time getting on a photographer’s schedule.  That either means we have a lot of new listings about to hit the market or realtors are just really impatient to get a house on the market!

 

How to get a house in a tight market

Let’s just jump right in:

  1.  Obviously, the first step is to go see it as soon as it hits the market.  Many houses are selling immediately these days.  You wait until it is convenient to see and you will likely lose it.
  2. If it is a new listing, there is a higher change of there being multiple offers.  Don’t make a lower offer and see what the seller counters back with.  In between your offer and the seller’s response, odds are another offer will come in.  Seal the deal ASAP because nothing is settled until all parties sign a contract.
  3. If you find yourself in multiple offers, go in with your best terms.  Keep in mind that there is more to this than just price.  The closing date and when the seller has to be out are often just as important.  Remember, everybody moving out is going to be moving in somewhere too.  They have to coordinate their move just like you do.  I’ve seen sellers accept or counter a lower offer because the closing date and/or move out date were more favorable.
  4. Sellers get nervous about the home inspection.  I would only suggest doing this if the price is right or it is your dream house, but you could buy it totally “As-Is” or agree to limit what the seller might spend on repairs.  You could maybe just inspect the major systems too.   I’ve been on hundreds of inspections.  Most of the time the repair list amounts to no more than $1000 and is full of minor items that you would not walk away over……so in a super tight market for the house you really love, why risk losing it?  This is funny for me to write, because when the market was so terrible, I was suggesting sellers do anything they could to hang on to the few buyers in the market!
  5. You could raise the earnest money amount.  Personally, I don’t care how much the earnest money is.  The buyer gets it back for just about any reason short of giving you the middle finger and saying they just changed their mind.  Some agents and sellers get excited about the amount of earnest money though.
  6. Most people have a personal attachment to their home.  They want it to go to somebody they feel good about.  So yeah, we are back to the days of writing a personal letter to the seller and maybe including a picture of you/your family.  Everybody else will just be a name at the bottom of the offer.  You will be a person.

Of course, every situation is a little different.  Having an agent who can help determine the best course and to what extent you need to do all this will help the most.

LEXpert’s top picks for around $350k

At the bottom of the market just a few years ago, it seemed like $350k was a HUGE budget.  It still gets you a very nice house, but most of the popular choices like Firebrook, Palomar, Hartland, Andover Forest and Chevy Chase are now well over $400k for a fairly updated home.

Here are a few neighborhoods that I always like to make sure my $350k buyers are aware of:

Dogwood Hills-This is an 80’s neighborhood with large traditional houses located out Harrodsburg Road across from Firebrook.  I’ve always described Dogwood Hills as upscale but not pretentious.  It just has a comfortable, cozy vibe to it that I have always found appealing.   You’ve got a great southwest Lexington location, there is a shopping center with a Kroger right next door, and you have a great city park in the back of the neighborhood.

Rabbit Run-This is a late 80s/early 90s neighborhood.  I am taking about Wellington Lane, part of Wellington Way, Meadowbrook Drive, Meadowbrook Court, Comanche Trail, Comanche Court, Blenheim Way and Blenheim Court.  Rabbit Run does have a section of medium sized houses on small lots.  There is also an adjoining neighborhood whose real name is Saint Stephen’s Green at Rabbit Run….but most people call it all Rabbit Run these days.  Now that I have cleared up all that, what do I like about it?  Like Dogwood Hills, it does have that cozy, comfortable upscale vibe to it.  I think it’s best feature is the location.  It is right in the middle of everything you want on the southwest end of Lexington.  Both Man O War and New Circle Road are minutes away.  You can sneak in the back way to get to Fayette Mall without ever being on Nicholasville Road.  You have all the great things that Harrodsburg Road offers very close, such as the YMCA, library, restaurants, gym, grocery stores…even a hardware store.

Lansdowne-This neighborhood has become very trendy.  $350k doesn’t go as far as it use to here.  What makes it special is that you get a mid-century neighborhood with large lots inside New Circle Road and close to UK, downtown and Chevy Chase.  You can also get to about anything on Nicholasville Road by taking one of the side streets like Zandale, Malabu or Reynolds Road.  A popular spot for many residents is the Signature Club.  It has a great swimming pool.  You can enjoy the club even if you are not a member and dine in “The Cellar.”  As if this location was not ideal enough, you are very close to The Lansdowne Shoppes which has several amazing businesses such as The Fresh Market (One of my favorite grocery stores-great sushi!)

Stonewall-This is my default suggestion when people tell me they want a safe neighborhood with good performing schools and they want a huge yard in south Lexington.  I guess it is my default because it is about the only neighborhood that meets all that criteria.  Stonewall is a 1960s neighborhood that use to be just outside of Lexington.  Just beyond Stonewall is a 70s neighborhood called Grasmere.  Some people think Grasmere is part of Stonewall, but it isn’t.  Grasmere has a similar feel to it, although the lots are a little smaller and the houses are about 10 years newer.  It is a little cheaper too.  When Stonewall won’t fit in your budget, look in Grasmere.  Stonewall is right off Clays Mill Road just outside of New Circle.  It is just a few minutes away from Rabbit Run, so you get all the same location perks.

LEXpert’s top picks for around $150k

Let’s say you are a first time buyer, retiring, downsizing, or maybe you just don’t need a big house.  Your budget is around $150k.  You don’t want to compromise location.  You don’t want a characterless neighborhood.  What to do?  Where to look?

Here are my top 5 picks for neighborhoods to consider.  All are from the 80s and 90s and all are in southwest Lexington:

  1.  On the low end of the budget, you should consider Overview Drive in Hidden Springs.  One side of this street backs to a creek, so you have a little breathing room since the houses on the other side of the creek are a little further away.  Not that you will, but you could walk to the Boston Road Kroger, or Starbucks, or all the stores on either side of Boston Road.  You’ve got a gas station and pharmacy too.
  2. If you like being in an affluent part of town at a bargain price, look into either Ashbrooke or Harrods Point.  Both are right on the Fayette-Jessamine County line out Harrodsburg Road.  Both are nice, quiet and convenient locations.  You have Bellerive Shopping Center sooo close.  Just down Harrodsburg Road is Palomar Shopping Center, the library and the YMCA.
  3. Copper Trace is in the middle of it all.  It is on the outside corner of Man O War and Clays Mill Road. Anything you want to do in south Lexington is a very short drive.  Unless you are on Spring Run Road, there is only one way in and out of either side of this neighborhood.  The huge pin oak trees that line the streets give it that established vibe everybody likes (except in the fall when the leaves drop!)
  4. While all of Clemens Heights is a nice neighborhood, one street in particular is amazing.  If you know the area, you know I am talking about Steamboat Road.  Almost the whole street backs to either greenspace or the city owned Waverly Park.  I’ve been in many houses on either side.  The wooded greenspace is a great view.  Waverly is a real gem of a park.  Just the right size and all the features you’d want.
  5. The fifth one was Harrods Point, but I combined it in #2 with Ashbrooke since they are so close.