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It is rare, but this is the ideal type of sale

by John Rice

You know, we always think about the buyer for a house being somebody who wants the location, loves the house, or both, right? But there is another reason a buyer might pick your house among all the other competing listings. It is something I have only see happen 3 times in my 21 year career. It is when the buyer is a neighbor or the house is located next to a family member.

I recently sold a 7 acre parcel with a nice smaller home in Wilmore Kentucky. It got lots of showings. The location was great. The biggest issue was that it was a one bathroom house. Having sold a lot of rural property, I knew it was only a matter of time before somebody would want it. It was a lot of land for the price despite the smaller one bathroom house. We ended up getting an acceptable cash offer from somebody who owned land that adjoined this property.

I had a listing in a rural neighborhood in Madison County a couple of years ago. The place was so cool that I was thinking about buying it. It had a giant two car garage in the basement plus a HUGE detached two car garage with a loft. I was thinking of all the cars I could put in there. The buyer told us at the closing that they were moving here from out of state to be close to a relative that lived within walking distance of this house.

The last one of these I had was maybe 4-5 years ago. The market was crazy hot. This house was in a very prestigious part of Lexington on a well known road. I ended up getting several offers on it. All the offers had escalation clauses which means all the buyers agreed to pay a certain amount more than other buyers up to a fixed amount. Well, we got an offer that was $25k MORE than the highest maximum on any of those other offers. I wondered why the buyer’s realtor chose to do that. If they had used an escalation clause it could have saved the buyer some money. Turns out the buyer’s sister lived next door and that was the only reason for the move.

The wonderful thing about these types of sales are that the buyers are not looking at any other house. There is no “We will find another one if this doesn’t work out”. It is their only choice and they are not only going to pay the most, but also be the least likely to walk away after a home inspection.

What will 2026 be like?

by John Rice

I think it will be like 2008. Don’t panic though. Next year shouldn’t be like the 2009 market.

In 2008, we were starting to feel the market slow down. It peaked in 2005 just as it did a couple years ago. We were all in denial back then, hoping what we were seeing in California and Arizona would not come here. It did, but not as severe. The Lexington/Bluegrass market has always been pretty stable and resiliant.

So, by 2008 we were seeing a lot of price reductions. A lot of rising inventory. Only the best houses were selling fast. A seller had to do some prep work to make their house stand out. Many sellers were in denial because they had bought in a frenzy. They were shocked not to have a line of buyers wanting their house the first day on the market. Being a realtor began to be a real job that required skills where you really need to know the market, know how to negotiate, and know how to present a house so it stands out among all the competing listings.

I would normally use this paragraph to contrast 2008 to the current market. Since it is identical, just go back up there and substitute 2026 where I wrote 2008.

Don’t worry though. There are no signs of a coming crash. This slow down is driven by lack of demand due to affordability. Back then, the market crashed due to bad mortgages causing forclosures.

I think the rest of this year will see little appreciation, frustrated sellers, cautious buyers and a lot of realtors getting out of the business.

Selling a house is like middle school gym class

by John Rice

I was that kid in middle school that was always picked last in gym class. You know the drill. Two team Captains (Buyers) pick their team (Houses) until there is only one left and that person gets picked by default. Don’t feel bad for me though…….I’m sure the past 40 years has been better for me than for most of those picked before me.

The real estate market is very similar to what we’ve all experienced in gym class. Buyers organize the houses in order of preference. Naturally, they are most interested in move-in ready houses that are priced right. Then they move down the list to those that are less desirable.  Sellers want to be picked sooner rather than later. Think “Days on Market.”

Once the Captains are chosen, that is like the beginning of the house hunting season. The Captains pick those they think will be the best. Once those kids are on a team, they are “Sold” and not available anymore. All a Captain can do is pick the most desirable kid from what is left. Once the best one has been picked, the second best one becomes the new best choice. That is until it was just me standing there and the Captain says my name with the enthusiasm as if he had just heard the cafeteria was serving goulash for lunch.

Right now, we are in the time of year where not many new listings are hitting the market. It’s kind of like when there are only about 6 kids left from the whole class. These are the ones that maybe nobody really wants, but the next kid that gets picked is going to be the best of those that are left. There are many sellers right now with average to below average houses that will get contracts simply because there are no better choices for a buyer right now. I always say that fall is the best time to get rid of  house that nobody has wanted all spring and summer, which I guess is my whole point.

 On a side note, the only time I ever got picked any higher than dead last was when it was for volleyball. See, I am left-handed. When I serve, the ball always goes on the opposite side of the court from where it lands when most people serve. Everybody on the other team was always caught off guard. Nobody ever noticed the pattern of where the ball would go when I served. Come to think of it, that is one of the first times I ever realized the benefit of zigging when most people zag and zagging when most people zig.

Selling? What you like doesn’t matter

by John Rice

A long time ago, my wife decided she wanted a Subaru Outback. We looked at a few on used car lots. I did a lot of research to find out what trim level we had to get for her to have the sunroof and heated leather seats that she wanted. There really weren’t a lot of used Outbacks in or around Lexington at that time. This was so long ago that I found a classified ad in a newspaper that said “2008 Subaru Outback, SI Drive” with the price and the seller’s phone number. That was it. Not a lot of info to work with. Definitely nothing to make the guy’s phone start ringing. But to me, this car having SI Drive told me a whole lot more about it. Having done the research, I knew that was only offered on the top trim level. It had the giant sunroof, heated leather seats, and the bigger engine. When we went to see the car, the seller kept talking about the SI Drive. I could tell it was very important to him.

A lot of home sellers are like that too. They want to focus on what is important to them when selling their house, rather than focusing on things that are important to the buyer. I see it a lot in the marketing material of For Sale by Owner listings. I once read a flyer where the seller spent a lot of space talking about how level the sidewalks are.

About this same time, I sold a house to a family that I have since become friends with. They found the house by driving around the neighborhood. They would have never come to see it if they had only seen it online. Why? Because of the marketing remarks. Instead of mentioning the hardwood floors, instead of mentioning that one of the upstairs bedrooms was huge, or that there were bedrooms on both levels of the house, or that the backyard was an awesome park-like oasis, the realtor used that space to tell you that the exterior was maintenance free, that the curtains stayed with the house, and that there was an allowance for water-proofing the basement as well as mitigating radon. The marketing remarks could only have been better if they said  “Must see! You get to keep the seller’s curtains AND fix some major problems with this house, but at least you’ll never have to paint the outside!! NOT a drive by!”

The hardest thing about real estate is getting sellers to think like a buyer and a buyer to think like a seller. I think if that ever were to happen, I’d probably be out of a job! Being a realtor these days is as much about mediation, negotiation and understanding differing perspectives as it is about houses.

BTW, “SI Drive” is a feature that has 3 settings for throttle response and transmission shift points.

What I like about a contingency contract

by John Rice

Well, I don’t really like them, but there is a good side to this type of contract if you are the seller.  Guess what it is? The buyer will typically pay you more with a contingency to sell their house first than they would without it.

I see it all the time. A buyer with a house to sell gets really nervous about not knowing where they will be living once they sell their old home. Now, unless the buyer already has a contract on the house they are selling, I always counter back with a kickout clause.  That basically means that IF the seller would like to sell the house to another buyer who does not have a contingency, they give the contingency buyer a certain amount of time to remove the contingency or back out of the deal. 

Another thing I like is that IF the contingency buyer can and does remove their contingency,  you have a back up buyer. Sometimes it helps when negotiating repairs if the buyer knows there is somebody else wanting the house if the deal falls apart!

I don’t really care for this kind of contract though when I am working with a buyer…..for all the same reasons. When I have a buyer who wants to write a contingency offer, I usually try to get them to just wait until we sell their house first. Here is why I don’t think they are a good idea for the buyer who can’t possibly remove the contingency if needed: Any decent realtor is going to counter back with a kickout clause. That means that if another buyer comes along they will lose the house. If no such buyer comes along, that means that the house would still be there when the buyer’s old house eventually sells, and they could probably strike a better deal at that point.